MI-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
86.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
86.5enters as 86.5
Democrats win
13.5enters as 100 − 13.5 = 86.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MI-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?86.0Will Democratic win the House race for MI-01? - Callie Barr14.0Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?13.2Will Republican win the House race for MI-01? - Jack Bergman87.0MI-01 General Election — Callie Barr15.0MI-01 General Election — Jack Bergman88.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Callie Barr win the Michigan 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?16.0Will Jack Bergman win the Michigan 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?87.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 86.5 · rows open on the exchange
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