NC-11 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
13.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
13.2enters as 13.2
Democrats win
86.8enters as 100 − 86.8 = 13.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NC-11 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-11? - Jamie Ager86.0Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?88.5Will Republican win the House race for NC-11? - Jennifer Balkcom13.0Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat?11.5North Carolina-11 House Winner - Chuck Edwards4.0North Carolina-11 House Winner - Jamie Ager87.0
Show all 10 contracts
NC-11 General Election — Chuck Edwards3.0NC-11 General Election — Jamie Ager78.0Will Chuck Edwards win the North Carolina 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0Will Jamie Ager win the North Carolina 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?66.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 13.2 · rows open on the exchange
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