NC-07 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
77.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
77.7enters as 77.7
Democrats win
22.3enters as 100 − 22.3 = 77.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NC-07 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NC-07? - David Rouzer78.0Will Democratic win the House race for NC-07? - Kim Hardy22.0Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?23.5Will the Republican Party win the NC-07 House seat?76.5Will David Rouzer win the North Carolina 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?81.0NC-07 General Election — Kimberly Hardy14.0
Show all 8 contracts
NC-07 General Election — David Rouzer81.0Will Kimberly Hardy win the North Carolina 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?14.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 77.7 · rows open on the exchange
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