WI-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
22.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
22.4enters as 22.4
Democrats win
77.6enters as 100 − 77.6 = 22.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does WI-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will a Democrat win the House race for WI-3? - Rebecca Cooke79.0Wisconsin US House District Three General Election - Will Derek Van Orden be reelected?22.6Will the Democratic Party win the WI-03 House seat?77.5Wisconsin-03 House Winner - Rebecca Cooke78.0Will a Republican win the House race for WI-3? - Derrick Van Orden22.0Wisconsin-03 House Winner - Derrick Van Orden22.0
Show all 11 contracts
WI-03 General Election — Derrick Van Orden27.5WI-03 General Election — Rebecca Cooke72.5Will Rebecca Cooke win the Wisconsin 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?73.0Will Derrick Van Orden win the Wisconsin 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?27.0Will the Republican Party win the WI-03 House seat?22.5
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 22.4 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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