NC-14 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
83.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
83.0enters as 83.0
Democrats win
17.0enters as 100 − 17.0 = 83.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NC-14 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NC-14? - Tim Moore83.0Will the Democratic Party win the NC-14 House seat?16.0Will the Republican Party win the NC-14 House seat?83.0Will Democratic win the House race for NC-14? - LaKesha Womack17.0NC-14 General Election — Lakesha Womack12.0NC-14 General Election — Tim Moore85.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Brent Caldwell win the North Carolina 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Lakesha Womack win the North Carolina 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?12.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 83.0 · rows open on the exchange
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