FL-12 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
83.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
83.3enters as 83.3
Democrats win
16.7enters as 100 − 16.7 = 83.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-12 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-12? - Kimberly Overman18.0Will the Republican Party win the FL-12 House seat?84.0Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?15.5Will Republican win the House race for FL-12? - Gus Bilirakis84.0Florida-12 House Winner - Kimberly Overman19.0Florida-12 House Winner - Gus Bilirakis86.0
Show all 10 contracts
FL-12 General Election — Christopher Irizarry4.0FL-12 General Election — Kimberly Overman12.0FL-12 General Election — Gus Bilirakis89.0Will the Republican party win the Florida's 12th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 83.3 · rows open on the exchange
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