NE-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
80.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
80.4enters as 80.4
Democrats win
19.6enters as 100 − 19.6 = 80.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NE-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 14
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NE-01? - Mike Flood81.0Will Democratic win the House race for NE-01? - Chris Backemeyer20.0Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?79.0Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?19.5Nebraska-01 House Winner - Chris Backemeyer22.0Nebraska-01 House Winner - Mike Flood82.0
Show all 14 contracts
NE-01 General Election — Eric Moyer2.5NE-01 General Election — Austin Ahlman5.0NE-01 General Election — Chris Backemeyer16.0NE-01 General Election — Mike Flood83.0Will Austin Ahlman win the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0Will Chris Backemeyer win the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?16.0Will Eric Moyer win the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?14.0Will Mike Flood win the Nebraska 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?83.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 80.4 · rows open on the exchange
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