Nebraska Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$4K traded / 24h·12 contracts·6 exchanges·Margin rank 10 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
82.4Likely R · ▼ 7.1 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
82.4
enters as 82.4
Democrats win
17.6
enters as 100 − 17.6 = 82.4

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Nebraska

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12

Sorted by weight

Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?18.5Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 81.5weight 49.7%Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nebraska - Jim Pillen83.0Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 83.0weight 21.0%Will the Republicans win the Nebraska governor race in 2026?82.0Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 82.0weight 17.7%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Nebraska - Lynne Walz17.0Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 83.0weight 5.0%Will Jim Pillen win the Nebraska general election for Governor in 2026?86.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 86.0weight 3.8%Will Lynne Walz win the Nebraska general election for Governor in 2026?13.0ForecastEx ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 87.0weight 2.8%
Show all 12 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 82.4 · rows open on the exchange
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