NH-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
Closest raceSafer · KY-06 →
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
48.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
48.3enters as 48.3
Democrats win
51.7enters as 100 − 51.7 = 48.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NH-02 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
NH-02 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NH-02? - Lily Tang Williams4.1New Hampshire-02 House Winner - Lily Tang Williams7.0New Hampshire-02 House Winner - Maggie Goodlander98.0Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?97.4Will the Republican Party win the NH-02 House seat?2.8NH-02 General Election — Lily Tang Williams7.0
Show all 9 contracts
NH-02 General Election — Maggie Goodlander93.0Will Democratic win the House race for NH-02? - Maggie Goodlander97.2Will Lily Tang Williams win the New Hampshire 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 48.3 · rows open on the exchange
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