New Hampshire Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$34K traded / 24h·11 contracts·5 exchanges·Margin rank 16 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
93.2Safe R · ▼ 0.5 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
93.2
enters as 93.2
Democrats win
6.8
enters as 100 − 6.8 = 93.2

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in New Hampshire

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11

Sorted by weight

Will Democrats win the 2026 New Hampshire Governor election? (Kalshi)6.3Manifold ◦ ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 93.7weight 97.1%Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?6.7Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 93.4weight 2.3%Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?93.2Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 93.2weight 0.3%Will Kelly Ayotte win the New Hampshire general election for Governor in 2026?94.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 94.0weight 0.3%New Hampshire Governor Winner - Cinde Warmington9.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 91.0weight 0.0%New Hampshire Governor Winner - Kelly Ayotte96.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 96.0weight 0.0%
Show all 11 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 93.2 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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