FL-09 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
70.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
70.0enters as 70.0
Democrats win
30.0enters as 100 − 30.0 = 70.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-09 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
FL-09 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for FL-09? - Dan Green71.0Will Democratic win the House race for FL-09? - Darren Soto29.0Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?31.0Will the Republican Party win the FL-09 House seat?68.0Florida-09 House Winner - Darren Soto31.0Florida-09 House Winner - Dan Green72.0
Show all 11 contracts
FL-09 General Election — Thomas Chalifoux2.0FL-09 General Election — Darren Soto32.5FL-09 General Election — Dan Green65.5Will the Democratic party win the Florida's 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?72.0Will the Republican party win the Florida's 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?30.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 70.0 · rows open on the exchange
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