TX-35 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
30.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
30.6enters as 30.6
Democrats win
69.3enters as 100 − 69.3 = 30.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-35 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
TX-35 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-35? - Johnny C. Garcia69.0Will Republican win the House race for TX-35? - Carlos De La Cruz31.0Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?65.5Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?33.0Will Johnny Garcia win the Texas 35th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?63.0Texas-35 House Winner - Carlos De La Cruz Jr.32.0
Show all 11 contracts
Texas-35 House Winner - Johnny Garcia70.0TX-35 General Election — Johnny Garcia62.5TX-35 General Election — Carlos De La Cruz37.5Will Carlos De La Cruz win the Texas 35th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?37.0Will John Lira win the Texas 35th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 30.6 · rows open on the exchange
Other Texas races this cycle