NJ-11 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.5enters as 3.5
Democrats win
96.5enters as 100 − 96.5 = 3.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NJ-11 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NJ-11? - Joe Hathaway3.0New Jersey-11 House Winner - Joe Hathaway5.0New Jersey-11 House Winner - Analilia Mejia99.0NJ-11 General Election — Tom Malinowski1.5NJ-11 General Election — Joe Hathaway5.0NJ-11 General Election — Analilia Mejia96.0
Show all 11 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-11? - Analilia Mejia97.6Will Analilia Mejia win the New Jersey 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?96.0Will Tom Malinowski win the New Jersey 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?3.0Will the Republican Party win the NJ-11 House seat?2.6Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-11 House seat?95.5
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.5 · rows open on the exchange
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