NY-08 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.4enters as 3.4
Democrats win
96.6enters as 100 − 96.6 = 3.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NY-08 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NY-08? - Lewis Mizrahi1.5NY-08 General Election — Lewis Mizrahi4.0NY-08 General Election — Hakeem Jeffries97.0Will Democratic win the House race for NY-08? - Hakeem Jeffries94.7Will Hakeem Jeffries win the New York 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?97.0Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat?3.1
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.4 · rows open on the exchange
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