Oklahoma Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.4enters as 97.4
Democrats win
2.6enters as 100 − 2.6 = 97.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Oklahoma decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.4.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Oklahoma? - N’Kiyla Thomas2.8Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?98.1Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma Senate race in 2026?1.8Oklahoma US Senate Winner - N'Kiyla Thomas4.0Oklahoma US Senate Winner - Kevin Hern96.0Oklahoma Senate General Election — N'kiyla Jasmine Thomas2.5
Show all 12 contracts
Oklahoma Senate General Election — Markwayne Mullin3.0Oklahoma Senate General Election — Kevin Hern95.0Will Republicans win the Senate race in Oklahoma? - Kevin Hern97.5Will the Republican party win the Oklahoma general election for US Senate in 2026?86.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Oklahoma? - Democratic (Thomas)2.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Oklahoma? - Republican (Hern)98.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.4 · rows open on the exchange
Other Oklahoma races this cycle