Oklahoma Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$55K traded / 24h·14 contracts·5 exchanges·Margin rank 12 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
86.9Likely R · ▼ 6.5 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
86.9
enters as 86.9
Democrats win
13.1
enters as 100 − 13.1 = 86.9

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Oklahoma

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 14

Sorted by weight

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oklahoma - Cyndi Munson14.0Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 86.0weight 55.2%Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?11.5Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 88.5weight 18.3%Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?88.0Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 88.0weight 16.7%Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oklahoma - Mike Mazzei86.0Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 86.0weight 9.8%Oklahoma Governor General Election — Cyndi Munson10.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 90.0weight 0.0%Oklahoma Governor General Election — Gentner Drummond3.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 3.0weight 0.0%
Show all 14 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 86.9 · rows open on the exchange
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