OK-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.2enters as 97.2
Democrats win
2.8enters as 100 − 2.8 = 97.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does OK-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
OK-03 General Election — Suzie Byrd4.0OK-03 General Election — Frank Lucas93.0Will Democratic win the House race for OK-03? - Suzie Byrd1.9Will Republican win the House race for OK-03? - Frank Lucas98.2Will Frank Lucas win the Oklahoma 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?93.0Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat?96.7
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.2 · rows open on the exchange
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