OR-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.5enters as 96.5
Democrats win
3.5enters as 100 − 3.5 = 96.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does OR-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Oregon-02 House Winner - Chris Beck5.0Oregon-02 House Winner - Cliff Bentz99.0OR-02 General Election — Chris Beck3.0OR-02 General Election — Cliff Bentz90.0Will Democratic win the House race for OR-02? - Chris Beck3.5Will Republican win the House race for OR-02? - Cliff Bentz96.5
Show all 9 contracts
Will Cliff Bentz win the Oregon 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will the Republican Party win the OR-02 House seat?96.1Will the Democratic Party win the OR-02 House seat?3.5
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.5 · rows open on the exchange
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