PA-08 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
14.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
14.2enters as 14.2
Democrats win
85.8enters as 100 − 85.8 = 14.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does PA-08 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for PA-8? - Rob Bresnahan15.0Will the Republican Party win the PA-08 House seat?13.5Will Democratic win the House race for PA-8? - Paige Cognetti86.0Will the Democratic Party win the PA-08 House seat?85.5Will Paige Cognetti win the Pennsylvania 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?81.0Will Rob Bresnahan win the Pennsylvania 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?19.0
Show all 10 contracts
Pennsylvania-08 House Winner - Rob Bresnahan17.0Pennsylvania-08 House Winner - Paige Cognetti87.0PA-08 General Election — Rob Bresnahan19.5PA-08 General Election — Paige Cognetti80.5
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 14.2 · rows open on the exchange
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