TN-03 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.8enters as 96.8
Democrats win
3.2enters as 100 − 3.2 = 96.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TN-03 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
TN-03 General Election — Anna Golladay4.0TN-03 General Election — Derek Hawn5.0TN-03 General Election — Charles J. Fleischmann95.0Will Democratic win the House race for TN-03? - Anna Golladay2.0Will Republican win the House race for TN-03? - Chuck Fleischmann95.7Will Derek Hawn win the Tennessee 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?5.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Charles J. Fleischmann win the Tennessee 3rd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?95.0Will the Republican Party win the TN-03 House seat?96.2Will the Democratic Party win the TN-03 House seat?3.6
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.8 · rows open on the exchange
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