Tennessee Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.2enters as 96.2
Democrats win
3.8enters as 100 − 3.8 = 96.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Tennessee decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.2.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Tennessee? - Bill Hagerty96.0Will Democratics win the Senate race in Tennessee? - Marquita Bradshaw3.8Tennessee US Senate Winner - Marquita Bradshaw3.0Will the Republicans win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?96.2Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026?3.6Tennessee US Senate Winner - Bill Hagerty95.0
Show all 12 contracts
Tennessee Senate General Election — Marquita Bradshaw3.0Tennessee Senate General Election — Bill Hagerty96.0Will the Republican party win the Tennessee general election for US Senate in 2026?88.0Will the Democratic party win the Tennessee general election for US Senate in 2026?13.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Tennessee? - Democrats (Bradshaw)2.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Tennessee? - Republican (Hagerty)97.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.2 · rows open on the exchange
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