TX-10 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
91.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
91.5enters as 91.5
Democrats win
8.5enters as 100 − 8.5 = 91.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-10 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-10? - Caitlin Rourk9.9TX-10 General Election — Caitlin Rourk11.0TX-10 General Election — Chris Gober90.0Will Republican win the House race for TX-10? - Chris Gober92.8Will Rob Altman win the Texas 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Ben Bius win the Texas 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Chris Gober win the Texas 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will Caitlin Rourk win the Texas 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?11.0Will the Republican Party win the TX-10 House seat?91.0Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?9.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 91.5 · rows open on the exchange
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