TX-12 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.6enters as 95.6
Democrats win
4.4enters as 100 − 4.4 = 95.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-12 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
TX-12 General Election — Heli Rodriguez Prilliman10.0TX-12 General Election — Craig Goldman90.0Will Heli Rodriguez Prilliman win the Texas 12th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Craig Goldman win the Texas 12th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will Democratic win the House race for TX-12? - Angela Rodriguez Prilliman4.6Will Republican win the House race for TX-12? - Craig Goldman96.7
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the TX-12 House seat?95.8Will the Democratic Party win the TX-12 House seat?2.8
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.6 · rows open on the exchange
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