TX-20 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.4enters as 1.4
Democrats win
98.6enters as 100 − 98.6 = 1.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-20 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
TX-20 General Election — Edgardo Baez4.0TX-20 General Election — Joaquin Castro96.0Will Joaquin Castro win the Texas 20th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?96.0Will Edgardo Baez win the Texas 20th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0Will Democratic win the House race for TX-20? - Joaquin Castro97.4Will Republican win the House race for TX-20? - Edgardo Baez4.2
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the TX-20 House seat?1.8Will the Democratic Party win the TX-20 House seat?97.3
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.4 · rows open on the exchange
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