TX-31 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
94.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
94.5enters as 94.5
Democrats win
5.5enters as 100 − 5.5 = 94.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-31 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat?94.5Will Democratic win the House race for TX-31? - Justin Early6.9Will the Democratic Party win the TX-31 House seat?5.5TX-31 General Election — Justin Early9.0TX-31 General Election — John Carter90.0Will Republican win the House race for TX-31? - John Carter93.4
Show all 9 contracts
Will Justin Early win the Texas 31st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0Will John Carter win the Texas 31st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will Greg Stoker win the Texas 31st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 94.5 · rows open on the exchange
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