VT-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.5enters as 2.5
Democrats win
97.5enters as 100 − 97.5 = 2.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does VT-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the VT-AL House seat?2.1Vermont-At-Large House Winner - Gerald Malloy3.0Vermont-At-Large House Winner - Becca Balint93.0Will Democratic win the House race for VT-AL? - Becca Balint99.0Will Republican win the House race for VT-AL? - Gerald Malloy3.5Will Becca Balint win the Vermont at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?94.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Mark Coester win the Vermont at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?3.0Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat?97.2
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.5 · rows open on the exchange
Other Vermont races this cycle