FL-16 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
77.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
77.6enters as 77.6
Democrats win
22.4enters as 100 − 22.4 = 77.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-16 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 13
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the FL-16 House seat?76.0Will Democratic win the House race for FL-16? - Kelly Kirschner25.0Will Sydney Gruters win the Florida 16th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?81.0Will the Democratic Party win the FL-16 House seat?24.0Will Republican win the House race for FL-16? - Sydney Gruters78.0Florida-16 House Winner - Kelly Kirschner21.0
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Florida-16 House Winner - Sydney Gruters78.0FL-16 General Election — Jan Schneider2.0FL-16 General Election — Kelly Kirschner17.0FL-16 General Election — Sydney Gruters82.0FL-16 General Election — Vern Buchanan2.0Will Jan Schneider win the Florida 16th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?19.0Will Vern Buchanan win the Florida 16th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 77.6 · rows open on the exchange
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