China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE$41 TRADED / 24H·1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·CHINA
What the market prices
7.5%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Polymarket
30d low 5.0 · Oct 1030d high 14.0 · Oct 27
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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