UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.
LIVE$2K TRADED / 24H·1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·SAUDI ARABIA
What the market prices
4.5%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Polymarket
30d low 3.1 · Oct 1030d high 6.2 · Oct 27
Where the books disagree
One exchange, one price
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