Will Saudi Arabia have nuclear weapons by 2030?

One question, with every dated and reworded contract that asks it. Only one exchange lists it today.

LIVE1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·SAUDI ARABIA
What the market prices
21%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
Where the books disagree

One exchange, one price

Only Manifold lists this question, so there is no cross-exchange read to compare. If another exchange lists the same question, it joins this page rather than appearing separately.

Other questions on Saudi Arabia

Also priced on Saudi Arabia