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Saudi Arabia
Market-implied armed-conflict heat for this country, with the contributing prediction-market contracts.
67.1
PMIWhat PMI meansPMI is the index's own 0–100 score — NOT the probability of a market's wording. Every contract is oriented to the index's theme, so a “below / no / peace” market shows a HIGH PMI when that outcome is unlikely. 100 = markets fully back the index's direction, 50 = balanced, 0 = the opposite.
CalmConflict
4
Contracts
2
Prediction Market Exchanges
4
PMI Holdings
PMI Holdings
Exchanges
90.8PMI
Will Houthis target Saudi Arabia by October 31, 2026?Polymarket
$1.1k
20.0PMI
Will state-based conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?Metaculus
$37
96.4PMI
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?Polymarket
$25
24.3PMI
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026?Polymarket
$17