Saudi Arabia
Armed-conflict risk on Saudi Arabia, priced from live prediction-market contracts and weighted by the money behind each one into a single PMIPrediction Market Index: a 0–100 reading of what traders are paying on live contracts, weighted by the money behind each one., which rolls up into Middle East and the world reading.
LIVE$101K TRADED / 24H·14 CONTRACTS·2 EXCHANGES·MIDDLE EAST·AS OF OCT 27, 16:57 UTC
58.2Elevated risk · 4th of 36 countries
▲ 3.7 24h · ▼ 8.2 7d
▲ 3.7 24h · ▼ 8.2 7d
Saudi Arabia reading · Sep 27 – Oct 27
Sep 27Oct 27
78.630D HIGH
25.430D LOW
▲ 11.930D CHANGE
✦ ASK ABOUT SAUDI ARABIA
Why did Saudi Arabia cool this week?What traders are pricing · top 5 of 14 by volume
The five contracts that move Saudi Arabia
Right-hand figure: share of today’s real-money volume. Rows open on the exchange.
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?53%Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?26%Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?95%Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 27?73%Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by November 30?32%
These 5 are 99% of today's volume. 10 of the 14 trade under $5K a day, so one trade can move them.
OTHER COUNTRIES IN MIDDLE EAST
Gaza 93.0 ›Syria 42.9 ›Lebanon 41.7 ›United Arab Emirates 39.2 ›Iraq 35.1 ›Yemen 23.1 ›Iran 23.0 ›Israel 19.8 ›Jordan 15.2 ›Oman 15.2 ›Bahrain 11.0 ›Kuwait 9.0 ›Qatar 4.3 ›
Back to Middle East