AK-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
88.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
88.8enters as 88.8
Democrats win
11.2enters as 100 − 11.2 = 88.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does AK-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for AK-AL? - Nick Begich III78.0Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?76.5Will Bill Hill win the Alaska At-Large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?17.0Will Nicholas Begich win the Alaska at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?81.0Will Democratic win the House race for AK-AL? - Eric Hafner3.0Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?1.7
Show all 9 contracts
Will Matt Schultz win the Alaska at-large District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?5.0Alaska-At-Large House Winner - Bill Hill23.0Alaska-At-Large House Winner - Nick Begich83.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 88.8 · rows open on the exchange
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