AL-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
68.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
68.1enters as 68.1
Democrats win
31.9enters as 100 − 31.9 = 68.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does AL-02 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
AL-02 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-02? - Shomari Figures32.0Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?32.0Will Republican win the House race for AL-02? - Rhett Marques68.0Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?68.5AL-02 General Election — Hampton Harris4.0AL-02 General Election — Shomari Figures26.5
Show all 8 contracts
AL-02 General Election — Rhett Marques73.5Will the Democratic party win the Alabama's 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?88.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 68.1 · rows open on the exchange
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