NM-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
8.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
8.2enters as 8.2
Democrats win
91.8enters as 100 − 91.8 = 8.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NM-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for NM-2? - Greg Cunningham9.9Will the Republican Party win the NM-02 House seat?7.9Will Democratic win the House race for NM-2? - Gabe Vasquez90.7NM-02 General Election — Greg Cunningham10.0NM-02 General Election — Greg Cunningham9.0NM-02 General Election — Gabriel Vasquez89.0
Show all 12 contracts
New Mexico-02 House Winner - Greg Cunningham11.0New Mexico-02 House Winner - Gabe Vasquez92.0Will Greg Cunningham win the New Mexico 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Gabriel Vasquez win the New Mexico 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will Greg Cunningham win the New Mexico 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?91.9
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 8.2 · rows open on the exchange
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