FL-11 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
87.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
87.9enters as 87.9
Democrats win
12.1enters as 100 − 12.1 = 87.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-11 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?10.5Will Democratic win the House race for FL-11? - James Pericola12.0Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat?88.5Will Republican win the House race for FL-11? - Joe Strada87.0Florida-11 House Winner - James Pericola15.0Florida-11 House Winner - Joe Strada88.0
Show all 11 contracts
FL-11 General Election — Barbie Harden Hall6.0FL-11 General Election — James Pericola12.0FL-11 General Election — Joe Strada88.0FL-11 General Election — Daniel Webster50.0Will the Republican party win the Florida's 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 87.9 · rows open on the exchange
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