TX-34 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
12.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
12.3enters as 12.3
Democrats win
87.7enters as 100 − 87.7 = 12.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-34 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for TX-34? - Eric Flores13.0Will Democratic win the House race for TX-34? - Vicente Gonzalez88.0Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?87.5Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?11.5TX-34 General Election — Eric Flores16.0TX-34 General Election — Vicente Gonzalez Jr.83.0
Show all 12 contracts
Texas-34 House Winner - Eric Flores14.0Texas-34 House Winner - Vicente Gonzalez90.0Will Keith Allen win the Texas 34th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Eddie Espinoza win the Texas 34th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Vicente Gonzalez Jr. win the Texas 34th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?83.0Will Eric Flores win the Texas 34th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?16.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 12.3 · rows open on the exchange
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