OH-09 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
23.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
23.6enters as 23.6
Democrats win
76.4enters as 100 − 76.4 = 23.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does OH-09 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for OH-9? - Marcy Kaptur77.0Will Republican win the House race for OH-9? - Derek Merrin24.0Will the Republican Party win the OH-09 House seat?24.0Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?75.0Ohio-09 House Winner - Derek Merrin26.0Ohio-09 House Winner - Marcy Kaptur79.0
Show all 10 contracts
OH-09 General Election — Derek Merrin26.5OH-09 General Election — Marcy Kaptur73.5Will Derek Merrin win the Ohio 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?26.0Will Marcy Kaptur win the Ohio 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?74.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 23.6 · rows open on the exchange
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