FL-21 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
87.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
87.3enters as 87.3
Democrats win
12.7enters as 100 − 12.7 = 87.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-21 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?13.0Will the Republican Party win the FL-21 House seat?86.5Will Democratic win the House race for FL-21? - James Martin12.0Will Republican win the House race for FL-21? - Brian Mast87.0Florida-21 House Winner - James Martin14.0Florida-21 House Winner - Brian Mast89.0
Show all 10 contracts
FL-21 General Election — Pia Dandiya2.0FL-21 General Election — James Martin11.0FL-21 General Election — Brian Mast87.0Will the Republican party win the Florida's 21st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?88.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 87.3 · rows open on the exchange
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