TX-32 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
87.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
87.5enters as 87.5
Democrats win
12.5enters as 100 − 12.5 = 87.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-32 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-32? - Dan Barrios14.0Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?13.0Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat?87.0Will Republican win the House race for TX-32? - Jace Yarbrough89.0Texas-32 House Winner - Dan Barrios13.0Texas-32 House Winner - Jace Yarbrough89.0
Show all 11 contracts
TX-32 General Election — Dan Barrios14.0TX-32 General Election — Jace Yarbrough86.0Will Jace Yarbrough win the Texas 32nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?86.0Will Anthony Bridges win the Texas 32nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Dan Barrios win the Texas 32nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?14.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 87.5 · rows open on the exchange
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