FL-26 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
83.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
83.5enters as 83.5
Democrats win
16.5enters as 100 − 16.5 = 83.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-26 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-26? - Nicole Locklin17.0Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat?85.0Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?15.5Will Republican win the House race for FL-26? - Mario Díaz-Balart84.0FL-26 General Election — Yurina Gil4.0FL-26 General Election — Nicole Locklin12.0
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FL-26 General Election — Mario Diaz-Balart88.0Will Nicole Locklin win the Florida 26th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?12.0Will Yurina Gil win the Florida 26th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0Will Mario Diaz-Balart win the Florida 26th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 83.5 · rows open on the exchange
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