IA-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
8.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
8.5enters as 8.5
Democrats win
91.5enters as 100 − 91.5 = 8.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IA-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for IA-1? - Christina Bohannan92.0Will Republican win the House race for IA-1? - Mariannette Miller-Meeks9.2Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?7.0Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?93.5Iowa-01 House Winner - Mariannette Miller-Meeks11.0Iowa-01 House Winner - Christina Bohannan94.0
Show all 10 contracts
IA-01 General Election — Mariannette Miller-Meeks12.0IA-01 General Election — Christina Bohannan89.0Will Christina Bohannan win the Iowa 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will Mariannette Miller-Meeks win the Iowa 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?12.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 8.5 · rows open on the exchange
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