ME-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.4enters as 3.4
Democrats win
96.6enters as 100 − 96.6 = 3.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does ME-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
ME-01 General Election — Ronald Russell4.0ME-01 General Election — Chellie Pingree90.0Maine-01 House Winner - Ronald C. Russell5.0Maine-01 House Winner - Chellie Pingree97.0Will Democratic win the House race for ME-01? - Chellie Pingree96.3Will Republican win the House race for ME-01? - Ronald Russell3.1
Show all 9 contracts
Will Chellie Pingree win the Maine 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will the Republican Party win the ME-01 House seat?2.8Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?96.1
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.4 · rows open on the exchange
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