Maine Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$75K traded / 24h·13 contracts·5 exchanges·Margin rank 22 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.7Safe D · ▼ 0.3 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.7
enters as 4.7
Democrats win
95.3
enters as 100 − 95.3 = 4.7

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Maine

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 13

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maine - Robert Charles5.0Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 52.2%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Maine - Hannah Pingree95.6Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 4.4weight 47.7%Will the Republicans win the Maine governor race in 2026?3.6Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 3.6weight 0.0%Maine Governor General Election — Bobby Charles13.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 13.0weight 0.0%Maine Governor General Election — Hannah Pingree89.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 11.0weight 0.0%Maine Governor General Election — Shenna Bellows50.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 50.0weight 0.0%
Show all 13 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.7 · rows open on the exchange
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