MI-08 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
5.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
5.3enters as 5.3
Democrats win
94.7enters as 100 − 94.7 = 5.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MI-08 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
MI-08 General Election — Amir Hassan7.0MI-08 General Election — Thomas Smith8.0MI-08 General Election — Kristen McDonald Rivet89.0Will Democratic win the House race for MI-8? - Kristen McDonald Rivet94.0Will Republican win the House race for MI-8? - Thomas J. Smith4.6Will Kristen McDonald Rivet win the Michigan 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Amir Hassan win the Michigan 8th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0Will the Republican Party win the MI-08 House seat?4.7Will the Democratic Party win the MI-08 House seat?95.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 5.3 · rows open on the exchange
Other Michigan races this cycle