MN-06 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
94.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
94.7enters as 94.7
Democrats win
5.3enters as 100 − 5.3 = 94.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MN-06 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for MN-06? - Doug Chapin5.5Will Republican win the House race for MN-06? - Tom Emmer94.9MN-06 General Election — Doug Chapin9.0MN-06 General Election — Doug Chapin8.0MN-06 General Election — Tom Emmer90.0Will Doug Chapin win the Minnesota 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?8.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Doug Chapin win the Minnesota 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0Will Tom Emmer win the Minnesota 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will the Republican Party win the MN-06 House seat?95.5Will the Democratic Party win the MN-06 House seat?3.9
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 94.7 · rows open on the exchange
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