New Mexico Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$2K traded / 24h·12 contracts·6 exchanges·Margin rank 16 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
6.9Safe D · ▼ 0.7 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
6.9
enters as 6.9
Democrats win
93.1
enters as 100 − 93.1 = 6.9

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in New Mexico

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Mexico - Greggory D. Hull6.9Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 6.9weight 79.4%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New Mexico - Deb Haaland93.1Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 6.9weight 12.1%Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?5.7Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.7weight 4.9%Will Gregg Hull win the New Mexico general election for Governor in 2026?7.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 7.0weight 3.7%New Mexico Governor Winner - Gregg Hull9.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 9.0weight 0.0%New Mexico Governor Winner - Deb Haaland96.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 4.0weight 0.0%
Show all 12 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 6.9 · rows open on the exchange
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