OH-04 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.0enters as 96.0
Democrats win
4.0enters as 100 − 4.0 = 96.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does OH-04 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for OH-04? - Jim Jordan96.7OH-04 General Election — Joshua Kolasinski4.0OH-04 General Election — Jim Jordan90.0Will Democratic win the House race for OH-04? - Joshua Kolasinski4.7Will Jim Jordan win the Ohio 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0Will the Republican Party win the OH-04 House seat?95.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.0 · rows open on the exchange
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