TN-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
89.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
89.0enters as 89.0
Democrats win
11.0enters as 100 − 11.0 = 89.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TN-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-05? - Chaz Molder11.0Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?10.7Tennessee-05 House Winner - Chaz Molder12.0Tennessee-05 House Winner - Charlie Hatcher91.0TN-05 General Election — Andy Ogles2.5TN-05 General Election — Chaz Molder8.0
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TN-05 General Election — Charlie Hatcher92.0Will Charlie Hatcher win the Tennessee 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?92.0Will Chaz Molder win the Tennessee 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?8.0Will Andy Ogles win the Tennessee 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?5.0Will Republican win the House race for TN-05? - Charlie Hatcher88.0Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?88.5
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 89.0 · rows open on the exchange
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