TN-09 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
80.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
80.8enters as 80.8
Democrats win
19.2enters as 100 − 19.2 = 80.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TN-09 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-09? - Justin J. Pearson20.0Will Republican win the House race for TN-09? - Brent Taylor81.0Will Brent Taylor win the Tennessee 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?86.0Will Justin Pearson win the Tennessee 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?15.0Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?19.0Will Steve Cohen win the Tennessee 9th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?2.0
Show all 12 contracts
Tennessee-09 House Winner - Brent Taylor84.0Tennessee-09 House Winner - Justin J. Pearson19.0TN-09 General Election — Steve Cohen2.5TN-09 General Election — Justin Pearson16.0TN-09 General Election — Brent Taylor86.0Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat?80.5
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 80.8 · rows open on the exchange
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