TX-15 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
19.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
19.3enters as 19.3
Democrats win
80.7enters as 100 − 80.7 = 19.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-15 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for TX-15? - Bobby Pulido81.0Will Republican win the House race for TX-15? - Monica De La Cruz20.0Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?81.5Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat?18.5Will Monica De La Cruz win the Texas 15th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?18.0Texas-15 House Winner - Monica De La Cruz21.0
Show all 10 contracts
Texas-15 House Winner - Bobby Pulido83.0TX-15 General Election — Monica De La Cruz17.5TX-15 General Election — Bobby Pulido84.5Will Bobby Pulido win the Texas 15th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?84.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 19.3 · rows open on the exchange
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